Braden Shick won. Smart money backed Colton Smith (8 ranked wallets, average entry 57¢) and lost. Volume $21k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $3.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $810k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul | Ben Shelton 64% · Tommy Paul 36% | $606k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala | Antonia Ruzic 3% · Alexandra Eala 97% | $471k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 31% | $440k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $423k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $397k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 01258787xy48487484545122 | Braden Shick | $14k |
| berlinskies | Braden Shick | $245.35 |
| 0x6318… | Braden Shick | $135.45 |
| jmp123 | Braden Shick | $18.90 |
| BigShark-706 | Braden Shick | $17.74 |
| betfun... | Braden Shick | $15.86 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Braden Shick | $13.97 |
| noclevername | Braden Shick | $11.89 |
| 6827491 | Braden Shick | $11.13 |
| Limousin | Braden Shick | $9.32 |
| 1reydar | Braden Shick | $7.27 |
| dentleightadman | Braden Shick | $5.98 |
49 wallets held a position at the close. The 27 biggest winners took $14k; the 22 biggest losers gave up $1.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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