Arthur Gea won. Smart money backed Zachary Svajda (31 ranked wallets, average entry 58¢) and lost. Volume $409k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.6M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Marco Rubio 9% | $944k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata | Luca Van Assche 84% · Rinky Hijikata 16% | $481k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $433k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 72% · Puma Shen 29% | $419k |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes 38% · No 62% | $341k |
| Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette | Mai Hontama 11% · Magda Linette 89% | $341k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x78be… | Arthur Gea | $18k |
| alexdave888 | Arthur Gea | $17k |
| Laizans | Arthur Gea | $8k |
| AnonymousUsername | Arthur Gea | $4k |
| 0x05e3… | Arthur Gea | $3k |
| 00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35 | Arthur Gea | $1k |
| BIess | Arthur Gea | $650 |
| Eeldog | Arthur Gea | $514.86 |
| 0x7738… | Arthur Gea | $501.22 |
| 0xc33a… | Arthur Gea | $401.74 |
| dafguj | Arthur Gea | $376.95 |
| 0xe505… | Arthur Gea | $366.14 |
344 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $59k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $16k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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