Alexander Bublik won. Smart money backed Frances Tiafoe (35 ranked wallets, average entry 45¢) and lost. Volume $2.0M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 12% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 64% · Pistons 36% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $787k |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 12% · Celtics 88% | $780k |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 75% · Wizards 25% | $664k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Gourmet1 | Alexander Bublik | $24k |
| crappy | Alexander Bublik | $8k |
| 1234162 | Alexander Bublik | $5k |
| Serjflash | Alexander Bublik | $2k |
| 0xc1a9… | Alexander Bublik | $2k |
| worldclassdegen | Alexander Bublik | $2k |
| 0x9217… | Alexander Bublik | $2k |
| 0xc4a8… | Alexander Bublik | $1k |
| vitbash | Alexander Bublik | $1k |
| AceOfBase777 | Alexander Bublik | $1k |
| 0x26bd… | Alexander Bublik | $1k |
| 0xf402… | Frances Tiafoe | $854.44 |
978 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $64k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $103k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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