Leonardo Storck Franca won. Smart money backed Miguel Tobon (6 ranked wallets, average entry 44¢) and lost. Volume $139k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $2.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $1.2M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 14% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $592k |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 95% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 4% | $573k |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | TheMongolz 26% · FURIA 75% | $553k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $513k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $498k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tennistrader20 | Leonardo Storck Franca | $4k |
| eweqewweqerwqrewqrwerqweqrwerqwer | Leonardo Storck Franca | $3k |
| Limousin | Leonardo Storck Franca | $2k |
| Venusian | Leonardo Storck Franca | $1k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Leonardo Storck Franca | $659.40 |
| MadridTime | Leonardo Storck Franca | $399.24 |
| 0x6318… | Leonardo Storck Franca | $140.34 |
| LightParadox | Leonardo Storck Franca | $127.25 |
| DM134 | Leonardo Storck Franca | $97.36 |
| Ffsler | Leonardo Storck Franca | $18 |
| 0x8526… | Leonardo Storck Franca | $17.90 |
| Dionis81 | Leonardo Storck Franca | $13.67 |
55 wallets held a position at the close. The 27 biggest winners took $11k; the 28 biggest losers gave up $2.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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