Aleksandar Vukic won. Smart money backed Liam Broady (26 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $651k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Abdul El-Sayed 1% · Elissa Slotkin 0% | $1.3M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $996k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 19% · Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 2% | $738k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $645k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 37% · John McEntee 4% · Nikki Haley 1% | $420k |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Invictus Gaming 20% · Gen.G 80% | $396k |
| Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio | Frosinone Calcio 44% · Cagliari Calcio 31% | $367k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $345k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| letitride247 | Liam Broady | $5k |
| 0x55fd… | Aleksandar Vukic | $1k |
| gang69 | Aleksandar Vukic | $1k |
| Gewin | Aleksandar Vukic | $895.17 |
| zishuai | Aleksandar Vukic | $871.50 |
| soukaev | Aleksandar Vukic | $756.20 |
| PlyQuants | Aleksandar Vukic | $726.49 |
| tenidspfmsp | Aleksandar Vukic | $721.02 |
| gang69 | Liam Broady | $418.88 |
| mercury777 | Aleksandar Vukic | $415.38 |
| validusername | Aleksandar Vukic | $346.07 |
| philosopherclown | Aleksandar Vukic | $334.21 |
520 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $19k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $31k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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