Rei Sakamoto won. Smart money backed Aleksandar Vukic (19 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢) and lost. Volume $523k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $508k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 71% · Arthur Rinderknech 30% | $480k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $465k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 55% · No 46% | $344k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| NiNo999 | Rei Sakamoto | $10k |
| vvyvv | Rei Sakamoto | $9k |
| aaaalesshaaa | Rei Sakamoto | $2k |
| hobo69 | Rei Sakamoto | $815.64 |
| 0xbefa… | Rei Sakamoto | $640.18 |
| mermlok | Rei Sakamoto | $551 |
| 0xa678… | Rei Sakamoto | $493.83 |
| 0x8cb5… | Rei Sakamoto | $292.99 |
| bigZag | Rei Sakamoto | $217.42 |
| 0x4093… | Rei Sakamoto | $198.89 |
| 0xb06b… | Rei Sakamoto | $182.14 |
| TennisRedCard | Rei Sakamoto | $160.15 |
312 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $25k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $23k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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