Yosuke Watanuki won. Smart money backed Marin Cilic (7 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $153k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Eagles 61% · Commanders 40% | $3.0M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 26% · IA, KS 11% · MI 1% | $1.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 72% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.2M |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) | Commanders 19% · Eagles 82% | $757k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $748k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Yosuke Watanuki | $5k |
| 0xf12f… | Yosuke Watanuki | $2k |
| 0xa0f2… | Yosuke Watanuki | $812.29 |
| 0xbedb… | Yosuke Watanuki | $348.23 |
| ShoveIsAllYouNeed | Yosuke Watanuki | $340.54 |
| 0xfd5f… | Yosuke Watanuki | $314.80 |
| hhahqhq18 | Yosuke Watanuki | $212.67 |
| 0x6d8b… | Yosuke Watanuki | $125.86 |
| 2347qaz | Yosuke Watanuki | $107.89 |
| 0xa4b2… | Yosuke Watanuki | $102.30 |
| 0xd863… | Yosuke Watanuki | $98.61 |
| Fast10x | Yosuke Watanuki | $91.57 |
212 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $9.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $17k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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