Coleman Wong won. Smart money backed Chun-Chien Hou (13 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $86k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 64% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.3M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Marco Rubio 21% · Joe Kent 1% | $895k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $894k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $782k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry | Rinky Hijikata 99% · Tomas Etcheverry 2% | $450k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $403k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $401k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $362k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| RN1 | Coleman Wong | $424.21 |
| 0x1b34… | Coleman Wong | $422.87 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Coleman Wong | $177.41 |
| LightParadox | Coleman Wong | $122.64 |
| rugmoney | Coleman Wong | $111.82 |
| avotrade | Coleman Wong | $95.48 |
| Venusian | Coleman Wong | $83.43 |
| makizinchers | Coleman Wong | $78.89 |
| alpheclabs | Coleman Wong | $75.63 |
| MadridTime | Coleman Wong | $69.53 |
| thestingsnake | Coleman Wong | $64.72 |
| fvckjumpjanes | Coleman Wong | $63.83 |
133 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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