Michael Zheng won. Smart money backed Cameron Norrie (25 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $926k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.4M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $869k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $535k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez | Mika Stojsavljevic 11% · Zeynep Sonmez 89% | $535k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $338k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Love-you | Michael Zheng | $4k |
| Neverlucki121 | Michael Zheng | $3k |
| 0xa0f2… | Michael Zheng | $3k |
| xwerxenu | Michael Zheng | $2k |
| riverskew | Michael Zheng | $2k |
| 1234162 | Michael Zheng | $1k |
| tenidspfmsp | Michael Zheng | $1k |
| milan-man | Michael Zheng | $943.52 |
| 0x2080… | Michael Zheng | $921.15 |
| blank7633 | Michael Zheng | $819.65 |
| dffdff22 | Michael Zheng | $651.16 |
| EvilWing12 | Michael Zheng | $536.02 |
679 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $31k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $35k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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