Alex de Minaur won. Smart money backed Alexander Zverev (9 ranked wallets, average entry 67¢) and lost. Volume $680k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA, MI 1% | $1.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 74% · Mike Rogers (R) 26% | $993k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $740k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 71% · Republican Party 29% | $732k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 43% | $528k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Kkunn | Alex de Minaur | $16k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Alex de Minaur | $14k |
| 0xbdcb… | Alex de Minaur | $9k |
| shaw | Alex de Minaur | $7k |
| wingwingwin | Alex de Minaur | $5k |
| tennistrader20 | Alex de Minaur | $4k |
| dmoralez | Alexander Zverev | $3k |
| Accomplished-Framework | Alex de Minaur | $3k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Alex de Minaur | $2k |
| DrSlips | Alex de Minaur | $2k |
| betfun... | Alex de Minaur | $2k |
| dmoralez | Alex de Minaur | $2k |
487 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $88k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $103k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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