No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $177k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $121k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? | Yes 50% · No 51% | $79k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $78k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 4? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $64k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 4? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $57k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $56k |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $56k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? | Yes 33% · No 68% | $54k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc… | No | $354.23 |
| Pellepele | No | $259.86 |
| mingxyz | No | $248.01 |
| gangwarharshit | No | $129.32 |
| easypredict | No | $101.09 |
| 0x76ee… | No | $96.35 |
| GoodLuck68886 | No | $79.52 |
| banchii | No | $72.80 |
| Facaie | No | $61.26 |
| woshisb | No | $53.07 |
| TangS4189 | No | $52.43 |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me | No | $42.96 |
135 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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