No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $32k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $121k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $76k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November? | Yes 49% · No 52% | $76k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 4? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $63k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 4? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $56k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 November 2-8? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $56k |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $56k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? | Yes 33% · No 68% | $54k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x6796… | No | $18.16 |
| easyclap | No | $8.63 |
| Wont-u-sing-w-me | No | $8.14 |
| FXC | No | $7.98 |
| oldcai | No | $5.94 |
| YoungAndFree | No | $1.81 |
| mtm101 | No | $1.35 |
| zhengchaochao | No | $0.88 |
| harlighet | No | $0.77 |
| asdfll1 | No | $0.57 |
| adsfasdf113 | No | $0.54 |
| Facaie | No | $0.53 |
32 wallets held a position at the close. The 13 biggest winners took $56; the 19 biggest losers gave up $444. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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