Up won. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $27k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Joe Kent 1% | $3.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 4% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $749k |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) | Grizzlies 38% · Pacers 63% | $718k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% · James Talarico 1% | $653k |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies | Pacers 34% · Grizzlies 66% | $591k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Kewe | Up | $237.32 |
| 0x8a04… | Down | $235.85 |
| cappuccino | Up | $52.36 |
| 0xc249… | Up | $47.80 |
| ponymarketsucks | Up | $30.60 |
| wonderpets | Up | $22.52 |
| alexiosof | Up | $19.72 |
| tmsd-test | Up | $17.64 |
| beeemw | Up | $16.32 |
| boppbop | Up | $16.30 |
| Konstantinopl | Up | $15.75 |
| JesusKingofKings | Up | $15.42 |
162 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $978; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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