Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 9¢) and lost. Volume $60k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $3.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $810k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul | Ben Shelton 92% · Tommy Paul 8% | $606k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala | Antonia Ruzic 6% · Alexandra Eala 94% | $471k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 31% | $440k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $423k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $397k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Yosooooooo | Down | $910.35 |
| kingofcoinflips | Down | $738.40 |
| Niseko | Down | $696.00 |
| Sxc123.sxc | Down | $622.13 |
| vedaresearch.btc | Down | $148.23 |
| 0x6647… | Down | $140.93 |
| 0xe623… | Down | $110.94 |
| zzyyaa992 | Down | $110.86 |
| niefeng | Down | $104.60 |
| Anon455 | Down | $94.61 |
| wesleysutton | Down | $91.23 |
| metwoowt | Down | $76.13 |
162 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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