Karsiyaka won. Smart money backed Bursaspor (8 ranked wallets, average entry 58¢) and lost. Volume $7.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $510k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $457k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 71% · Arthur Rinderknech 29% | $427k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 56% · No 45% | $341k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| pjua204 | Karsiyaka | $425.50 |
| rocket2themoon | Karsiyaka | $320.13 |
| LeLynxMalynx | Karsiyaka | $43.56 |
| Yakov11 | Karsiyaka | $36.36 |
| 0x6318… | Karsiyaka | $24.10 |
| 0xbe57… | Karsiyaka | $23.63 |
| 0x3948jdk97h75g | Karsiyaka | $19.98 |
| sportsdirect | Karsiyaka | $9.60 |
| 0xcd06… | Karsiyaka | $9.44 |
| 99asdf | Karsiyaka | $7.04 |
| mathacewa | Karsiyaka | $5.20 |
| Gptball | Karsiyaka | $4.55 |
37 wallets held a position at the close. The 17 biggest winners took $938; the 20 biggest losers gave up $975. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.