Yes won. Smart money backed No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $2.9k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Andy Beshear 3% · James Talarico 3% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 1% | $938k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $936k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $598k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $355k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $331k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LeechLord | Yes | $42.78 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | $32.50 |
| annont | Yes | $26 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | $19.50 |
| GrupoM4 | Yes | $13.11 |
| tradeo39 | Yes | $12.73 |
| brra | Yes | $11.50 |
| ilmari-kone | Yes | $11.25 |
| Leclerc04 | Yes | $11.10 |
| GGLPL | Yes | $10.44 |
| rubby1337 | Yes | $7.40 |
| Carabao | Yes | $7 |
65 wallets held a position at the close. The 42 biggest winners took $246; the 23 biggest losers gave up $137. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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