Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $757. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 1% | $10.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 99% · R Senate, D House 0% · Republicans Sweep 0% | $9.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 100% · Ken Paxton (R) 1% | $6.9M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Gina Hinojosa (D) 97% · Greg Abbott (R) 3% | $3.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 97% · Mike Rogers (R) 2% | $3.3M |
| South Carolina Senate Election Winner | Annie Andrews (D) 99% · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 1% | $1.5M |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) 89% · Susan Collins (R) 12% | $1.1M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 88% · Independent 13% | $907k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| minusalpha1 | Down | $63.85 |
| randombuys | Down | $19.81 |
| WittyPeach1 | Down | $14.37 |
| sajat5mm | Down | $6.95 |
| lfd8f83 | Down | $2.13 |
| ujhnbb | Down | $0.82 |
| A1729 | Up | −$44.64 |
| ujhnbb | Up | −$23.38 |
| giveme10billion | Up | −$15.85 |
| MetabolicRift | Up | −$10.00 |
| minusalpha1 | Up | −$7.13 |
| mrbarry777 | Up | −$4.95 |
21 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $108; the 15 biggest losers gave up $130. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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