Down won. Smart money backed Up (5 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $328k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 23% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $1.7M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.3M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 81% · AEK 8% | $855k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 87% | $742k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% | $646k |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04? | Yes 53% · No 48% | $408k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| bkDpJjchh | Down | $7k |
| Iw5MuzAYm | Down | $2k |
| RIGLimited | Down | $1k |
| 0xed56… | Down | $1k |
| traderslow | Down | $509.45 |
| 0xde4d… | Down | $479.25 |
| XeRoX5888 | Down | $474.42 |
| Alice88888 | Down | $440.08 |
| 811d | Down | $306.27 |
| PDAismyDNA | Down | $254.02 |
| 0x309c… | Down | $232 |
| 0xfdfe… | Down | $223.60 |
1,049 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $19k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $23k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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