Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 67¢) and lost. Volume $34k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 38% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $10.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $3.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 25% | $3.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $2.0M |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Cavaliers 18% · Thunder 82% | $1.7M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.5M |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 91% · Pacers 9% | $1.3M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| newone111111 | Up | $846.24 |
| 0xfb06… | Up | $620.38 |
| kim987 | Up | $599.76 |
| arbfinder2026 | Up | $238.73 |
| forron | Up | $234.85 |
| Lagerza | Up | $214.75 |
| 0xfcef… | Up | $200.12 |
| Wisconsin900 | Up | $191.18 |
| GobabyGo | Up | $168.63 |
| Buldog228 | Up | $165.29 |
| TheButcherCarnicero | Up | $163.66 |
| mercedes500 | Up | $162.61 |
319 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $6.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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