Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 57¢) and lost. Volume $84k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.3M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $977k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 22% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $931k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $689k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic | Xinyu Wang 17% · Antonia Ruzic 83% | $500k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 74% · Puma Shen 27% | $352k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| maxmaxi04 | Up | $1k |
| 0x2b12… | Up | $929.04 |
| 0x8ecb… | Up | $847.54 |
| moneyupupp | Up | $653.85 |
| 0xd6c1… | Up | $632.81 |
| 0x31df… | Up | $468.93 |
| 0xe0a7… | Up | $439.89 |
| 3123123121313 | Up | $405.21 |
| Terabox | Up | $372.49 |
| c2390f30fjs0fj3u0ss | Up | $280.50 |
| rear | Up | $273.49 |
| twappin | Up | $244.15 |
426 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $11k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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