Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 96¢) and lost. Volume $46k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.0M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 68% · Under 33% | $1.3M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 58% · Liverpool FC 19% | $1.2M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 70% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $573k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 76% · Mike Rogers (R) 25% | $507k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $487k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| moon-k58-lad | Up | $649.33 |
| maxmaxi04 | Up | $480.32 |
| SchroedingerBets | Up | $303.24 |
| minusalpha1 | Up | $271.15 |
| gogaji | Up | $262.50 |
| 0xbe77… | Down | $208.01 |
| tlfd1 | Up | $199.40 |
| fabsatat | Up | $189.24 |
| tlfd4 | Up | $187.80 |
| 0x0a2f… | Up | $150.56 |
| 0xfcef… | Up | $109.47 |
| 0x6d2a… | Up | $93.66 |
409 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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