Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $29k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 1% | $12.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 2% | $8.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 99% · Republicans Sweep 1% · R Senate, D House 0% | $7.8M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 84% · AK 3% · IA 2% | $6.2M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 97% · Ken Paxton (R) 3% | $5.6M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 99% · David Jolly (D) 1% | $3.8M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 96% · Mike Rogers (R) 5% | $2.6M |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Top Esports 20% · Invictus Gaming 80% | $2.5M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xEnrgyQuntumVbration | Down | $409.90 |
| 0x1bc3… | Down | $279.27 |
| jucalja1490 | Down | $162.69 |
| irnwl | Down | $107.85 |
| minusalpha1 | Down | $102.11 |
| Acclaimed-Heart-Certification | Down | $90.36 |
| tlfd4 | Down | $78.16 |
| 0xf085… | Down | $74.51 |
| toto1974 | Down | $56.29 |
| astroboy64 | Down | $52.66 |
| Kulgan | Down | $51.66 |
| CometFader | Down | $40.01 |
207 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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