Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢) and lost. Volume $15k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 38% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $10.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $3.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 25% | $3.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $2.0M |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5) | Cavaliers 18% · Thunder 82% | $1.7M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.5M |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Hawks 91% · Pacers 9% | $1.3M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| notfairplay | Down | $194.12 |
| 0x1bc3… | Down | $154.62 |
| 0x5b25… | Down | $150.65 |
| tiredofwinning2much | Down | $94.88 |
| HuskyTrade | Down | $89.30 |
| summertiger | Down | $71.73 |
| toto1974 | Down | $67.20 |
| 7figdemon | Down | $58.92 |
| rear | Down | $48.49 |
| 0xd5c6… | Down | $45.14 |
| dion-dublin | Down | $44.34 |
| 0xf602… | Down | $43.90 |
159 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.2k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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