Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢) and lost. Volume $72k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.0M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 68% · Under 33% | $1.3M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 58% · Liverpool FC 17% | $1.2M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $573k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 76% · Mike Rogers (R) 25% | $544k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $487k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| RLWG | Up | $2k |
| PredictGod | Up | $1k |
| 0x954b… | Up | $578.32 |
| HuskyTrade | Up | $498.79 |
| erereer | Up | $427.08 |
| asabovesobelow2 | Up | $381.63 |
| 0x1f18… | Up | $229.84 |
| laddergem | Up | $182.69 |
| Einst8224 | Up | $180.01 |
| TheButcherCarnicero | Up | $174.05 |
| GoodVibes7 | Up | $155.79 |
| LuckyRabit | Up | $137.03 |
300 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $8.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $14k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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