Up won. Smart money backed Down (6 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $19k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 3% | $1.7M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 21% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 81% · AEK 8% | $858k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $742k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti | Alexander Zverev 35% · Lorenzo Musetti 66% | $542k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% | $432k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| irnwl | Up | $213.37 |
| A1729 | Up | $141.20 |
| FadeCrowd123 | Up | $113.86 |
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $92.58 |
| 0x1f18… | Up | $83.27 |
| meowmeow6769 | Up | $79.15 |
| tlfd4 | Up | $70.71 |
| McxBoi | Up | $63.36 |
| Johua | Up | $55.11 |
| 0xac37… | Up | $53.20 |
| lisra | Up | $51.94 |
| POH-POXUY | Up | $47.27 |
236 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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