Up won. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 50¢) and lost. Volume $23k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 100% · Republican Party 0% | $11.7M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Gina Hinojosa (D) 99% · Greg Abbott (R) 1% | $4.3M |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $3.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 98% · Mike Rogers (R) 2% | $3.6M |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes 100% · No 0% | $3.3M |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) 97% · Susan Collins (R) 3% | $1.4M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 90% · Independent 11% | $1.2M |
| Mississippi Senate Election Winner | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 93% · Scott Colom (D) 8% | $1.2M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| notfairplay | Up | $682.91 |
| drew112d | Up | $663.97 |
| CERTova | Up | $237.68 |
| HuskyTrade | Up | $119.30 |
| renford18 | Up | $106.13 |
| 0x3179… | Up | $100.35 |
| alveron24 | Up | $97.45 |
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $92.96 |
| ronnys | Up | $87.02 |
| lisra | Up | $86.27 |
| tlfd4 | Up | $77.62 |
| tlfd1 | Up | $73.21 |
224 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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