Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 16¢) and lost. Volume $55k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 23% · Byron Donalds 1% · John McEntee 0% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 3% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 76% · No change 24% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 94% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 6% | $642k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva | Antonia Ruzic 32% · Alina Charaeva 68% | $609k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% · JD Vance 11% | $582k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $495k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 16% · No 85% | $475k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tlfd4 | Up | $916.88 |
| tlfd1 | Up | $833.85 |
| qmaxm | Up | $593.98 |
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $391.59 |
| maxmaxi04 | Up | $334.96 |
| notfairplay | Up | $280.40 |
| tlfd3 | Up | $254.94 |
| hsb881367 | Up | $213.33 |
| meowmeow6769 | Up | $184.15 |
| irnwl | Up | $153 |
| 41c | Up | $88.05 |
| HuskyTrade | Up | $82.87 |
339 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.4k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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