Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢) and lost. Volume $15k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 4% | $2.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 80% · No change 20% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 8% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $648k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata | Novak Djokovic 66% · Rinky Hijikata 34% | $559k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $457k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x954b… | Up | $36.70 |
| jj99012468 | Up | $33.80 |
| A0A0A | Up | $32.43 |
| 0xe5d4… | Up | $31.96 |
| tlfd4 | Up | $30.25 |
| minusalpha1 | Up | $21 |
| djaywc | Up | $20.48 |
| highpolis | Up | $17.87 |
| songsongnihao | Up | $17.41 |
| alveron24 | Up | $15.46 |
| cfcA | Up | $14.11 |
| 0x163d… | Up | $14.10 |
160 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $538; the 60 biggest losers gave up $833. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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