Up won. Smart money backed Down (4 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $49k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 34% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 29% · James Talarico 4% · Mark Cuban 0% | $889k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · James Talarico 2% · Wes Moore 1% | $813k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 61% · Arthur Rinderknech 40% | $562k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $497k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $431k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $402k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 54% · No 47% | $345k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| traderoffical | Up | $1k |
| A1729 | Up | $927.62 |
| notfairplay | Up | $776.08 |
| minusalpha1 | Up | $703.98 |
| felixan | Up | $495.11 |
| HuskyTrade | Up | $432.84 |
| AiPowerRuin | Up | $418.96 |
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $380.81 |
| tlfd4 | Up | $338.17 |
| irnwl | Up | $319.56 |
| maxmaxi04 | Up | $314.82 |
| tlfd1 | Up | $293.44 |
387 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $9.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $6.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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