Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Marco Rubio 20% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $1.8M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $1.3M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.2M |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | TheMongolz 23% · FURIA 77% | $680k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 14% · No 86% | $640k |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 81% · AEK 8% | $632k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% · JD Vance 13% | $595k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $501k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| zuiai5min | Down | $96.30 |
| 0xb976… | Down | $49.01 |
| 0x3863… | Down | $48.04 |
| ftcnt | Down | $44.98 |
| PRST1 | Down | $41.25 |
| jj99012468 | Down | $40.56 |
| VeruK2 | Down | $39.33 |
| VeruK4 | Down | $38.69 |
| wikingdusa | Down | $38.69 |
| Veruk3 | Down | $38.69 |
| WikingD2 | Down | $38.42 |
| vlabs | Down | $37.04 |
176 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.1k; the 52 biggest losers gave up $562. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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