Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 41¢) and lost. Volume $23k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.3M |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 20% · Suns 81% | $1.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $986k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $963k |
| Heat vs. Warriors | Heat 45% · Warriors 55% | $906k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $739k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 32% · Heat 68% | $579k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $398k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x954b… | Down | $355.64 |
| A1729 | Down | $236.49 |
| notfairplay | Down | $190.46 |
| minusalpha1 | Down | $169.53 |
| traderoffical | Down | $124.32 |
| jiajuns | Down | $87.99 |
| RLWG | Down | $84.90 |
| hiiamdestyn | Down | $73.36 |
| M2710 | Down | $70.27 |
| irnwl | Down | $63.54 |
| 0xdc09… | Down | $61 |
| 0xd5c6… | Down | $59.77 |
258 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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