Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $35k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 34% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.0M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $940k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 20% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $638k |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 30% · Natus Vincere 71% | $483k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $401k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $293k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 5% | $240k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| jza | Up | $290.49 |
| 0x931b… | Up | $91.93 |
| FatSlag | Up | $90.12 |
| GoodVibes7 | Up | $81.80 |
| trndr | Up | $61.44 |
| dawangwang001 | Up | $59.65 |
| vls96 | Up | $50.00 |
| Vonz | Up | $48.57 |
| 0x16ad… | Up | $47.55 |
| 0x954b… | Up | $41.75 |
| krrrissss | Up | $39.82 |
| Leg3ntino | Up | $39.31 |
205 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $2.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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