Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 0¢) and lost. Volume $20k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 22% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.6M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 20% · Kamala Harris 4% · Glenn Youngkin 0% | $786k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata | Luca Van Assche 77% · Rinky Hijikata 23% | $481k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $433k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 72% · Puma Shen 30% | $419k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 300-319 71% · 320-339 27% · 340-359 0% | $362k |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes 38% · No 62% | $341k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| notfairplay | Up | $238.61 |
| RLWG | Up | $232.84 |
| 0x3999… | Up | $213.19 |
| Leg3ntino | Up | $67.24 |
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $49.50 |
| rdimath | Up | $38.11 |
| sksksksksksk | Up | $35.22 |
| PBot-6 | Up | $28.96 |
| BoneOhio | Up | $27.75 |
| FatSlag | Up | $26.02 |
| 0xe1a4… | Up | $24.02 |
| jdoggy55 | Up | $22.85 |
163 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $553. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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