Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $26k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 67% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12% | $933k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $646k |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | PARIVISION 29% · Natus Vincere 71% | $541k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $466k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $288k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 44% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Dominique de Villepin 2% | $278k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ednale812 | Up | $234.41 |
| Alpharo28 | Up | $54.70 |
| 0xc249… | Up | $52.60 |
| sksksksksksk | Up | $35.22 |
| jucalja1490 | Up | $33.33 |
| stnwl | Up | $23.40 |
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $20.85 |
| nottolost | Up | $20.15 |
| Leg3ntino | Up | $19.80 |
| 0x223a… | Up | $14.60 |
| solly125 | Up | $14.55 |
| underss | Up | $13.25 |
146 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $758; the 54 biggest losers gave up $2.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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