Up won. Smart money backed Down (5 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $46k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 64% · No change 34% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.9M |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 89% · Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań) 10% · KKS Lech Poznań 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.5M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 41% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb | GNK Dinamo Zagreb 84% · Sunderland AFC 4% | $635k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 40% · Heat 61% | $561k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 22% · Pete Hegseth 0% | $557k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x1bc3… | Up | $1k |
| minusalpha1 | Up | $869.61 |
| the.prod.dt | Up | $359.53 |
| CnR89 | Up | $335 |
| smartlegs | Up | $237.62 |
| maxmaxi04 | Up | $117.61 |
| 0xce25… | Up | $93 |
| tlfd4 | Up | $92.84 |
| happyrooster | Up | $90 |
| steadylane14 | Up | $89.96 |
| x01000000 | Up | $88.59 |
| tlfd1 | Up | $87.75 |
250 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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