Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 49¢) and lost. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 99% · Republican Party 1% | $11.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 100% · Ken Paxton (R) 1% | $7.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 99% · D Senate, R House 0% | $4.9M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Gina Hinojosa (D) 98% · Greg Abbott (R) 3% | $4.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 98% · Mike Rogers (R) 2% | $3.6M |
| Maine Senate Election Winner | Troy Jackson (D) 91% · Susan Collins (R) 8% | $1.3M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 90% · Independent 12% | $1.1M |
| Mississippi Senate Election Winner | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 90% · Scott Colom (D) 10% | $1.1M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Hsilverbasher | Down | $110.64 |
| 0xc7eb… | Down | $68.10 |
| mydreams | Down | $23.83 |
| TheGooseBoy | Down | $8.05 |
| sdflll11 | Down | $7.50 |
| ddaasdf | Down | $7.40 |
| aab11 | Down | $7.40 |
| MeridianColdView | Down | $5.41 |
| bbd113d | Down | $5.40 |
| 0xcd90… | Down | $4.43 |
| ShouUn | Down | $4.10 |
| lium | Down | $3.65 |
55 wallets held a position at the close. The 25 biggest winners took $277; the 30 biggest losers gave up $450. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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