Up won. Smart money backed Down (6 ranked wallets, average entry 88¢) and lost. Volume $264k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 94% · Republican Party 6% | $6.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 26% | $3.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $3.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 77% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.6M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.1M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 66% · David Jolly (D) 36% | $981k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| luochen1 | Up | $47k |
| 0x44ce… | Up | $10k |
| blos | Up | $2k |
| sadlemon | Up | $1k |
| 0x6893… | Up | $767.61 |
| AdiIsrael | Up | $449.61 |
| noise126trader | Up | $369.81 |
| uuuuuz98 | Up | $366.00 |
| 0x7539… | Up | $361.57 |
| iwdkanezha | Up | $359.82 |
| hhjjuuy | Up | $334.16 |
| Canaaaxx | Up | $290.91 |
1,370 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $68k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $28k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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