Down won. Smart money backed Up (6 ranked wallets, average entry 54¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $6.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 75% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $5.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 25% | $4.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $3.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 77% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.5M |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma | Manchester United FC 45% · AS Roma 32% | $1.2M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 62% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.2M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x217a… | Down | $5k |
| ldszxhy | Down | $376.66 |
| FK.Hms | Down | $322.22 |
| Crashoutjohnson69 | Down | $290.81 |
| 0xfe4a… | Down | $168.84 |
| Beouaimap | Down | $160.46 |
| cannotfound | Down | $125.80 |
| shok1 | Down | $123.20 |
| cryptokam9 | Down | $113.24 |
| odyssey-ark | Down | $112.64 |
| rider67 | Down | $111.40 |
| 0x3bea… | Down | $110.60 |
851 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $8.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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