Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 75¢) and lost. Volume $169k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $9.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $6.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 76% · Republican Party 25% | $3.2M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $2.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.6M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.0M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 11% | $891k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| zatirjlrak | Up | $1k |
| yungOhioboy | Up | $1k |
| 0x8923… | Up | $708.30 |
| instictua | Up | $598.41 |
| 0x170c… | Up | $590.29 |
| 0xd1cd… | Up | $587.88 |
| 0xd340… | Up | $568.12 |
| Tryingtomakebank | Up | $552.62 |
| 0x1cf2… | Up | $540.82 |
| 0x37c6… | Up | $520.60 |
| 0x138b… | Up | $513.90 |
| 0x1bd7… | Up | $512.57 |
1,332 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $23k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $24k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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