Down won. Smart money backed Up (5 ranked wallets, average entry 16¢) and lost. Volume $116k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $9.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 94% · Republican Party 6% | $7.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 75% · R Senate, D House 22% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $6.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 26% | $4.5M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $3.8M |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma | AS Roma 83% · Manchester United FC 5% | $2.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 76% · Mike Rogers (R) 24% | $1.9M |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC | FC Barcelona 82% · Aston Villa FC 5% | $1.9M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x2997… | Down | $5k |
| IamFKINGbankrupt | Down | $3k |
| Mrgivemeall | Up | $1k |
| 0x5379… | Down | $793.98 |
| bitcoinlighf | Down | $545.99 |
| LuckyAliemOx | Down | $527.98 |
| engspain | Down | $328.83 |
| Fuultee | Down | $316.06 |
| SharkEightTin | Down | $307.64 |
| NaynFin | Down | $305.17 |
| xd51RDY | Down | $305.15 |
| 2NE1 | Down | $301.54 |
1,715 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $20k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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