Up won. Smart money backed Down (7 ranked wallets, average entry 44¢) and lost. Volume $97k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Byron Donalds 1% · John McEntee 0% · Tim Scott 0% | $1.4M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 3% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 76% · No change 24% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva | Antonia Ruzic 76% · Alina Charaeva 25% | $719k |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club | Draw (Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club) 93% · Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club 6% | $645k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 8% | $496k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% · JD Vance 13% | $485k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 16% · No 85% | $477k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x2238… | Up | $2k |
| 0xdb50… | Up | $1k |
| BettingTradingExchange1 | Up | $807.71 |
| 0x7f0c… | Down | $372.58 |
| arbfinder2026 | Up | $317.89 |
| 0xe9dd… | Up | $285.54 |
| 0x7cdf… | Up | $265.15 |
| ooeldikxf | Up | $264.75 |
| 0xcc82… | Up | $263.56 |
| Ditto1 | Up | $250.34 |
| nahhtr | Up | $222.65 |
| checkr3 | Up | $221.33 |
1,028 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $9.9k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $7.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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