Down won. Smart money backed Up (4 ranked wallets, average entry 49¢) and lost. Volume $58k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.2M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 4% | $2.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 79% · No change 20% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 81% · AEK 8% | $1.0M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $723k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $456k |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04? | Yes 52% · No 49% | $430k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| bitcoin9 | Down | $1k |
| 0xdb50… | Down | $372.47 |
| Bokoyayo | Down | $303.20 |
| arbfinder2026 | Down | $268.19 |
| Hungry99 | Down | $256.41 |
| alihassan77 | Down | $153.52 |
| Yonnnn | Down | $114.39 |
| 0x29de… | Down | $111.80 |
| bitcoinlighf | Down | $109.85 |
| JJMax | Down | $107.02 |
| 0x8713… | Down | $98.48 |
| 0x941b… | Down | $81.76 |
536 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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