Up won. Smart money backed Down (5 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $67k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $3.8M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 72% · Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC) 23% · Liverpool FC 6% | $1.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 70% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.5M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 25% · Under 75% | $1.4M |
| Browns vs. Steelers | Browns 36% · Steelers 65% | $883k |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Steelers 52% · Browns 48% | $879k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70% · Mike Rogers (R) 30% | $781k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x8cc6… | Up | $2k |
| 0xe38c… | Up | $1k |
| 0x0aef… | Up | $1k |
| 0xa29b… | Up | $1k |
| 0x6515… | Up | $664.63 |
| YouSayUpISayDown | Up | $357.17 |
| GobabyGo | Up | $243.02 |
| HeisenbergX | Up | $241.00 |
| 0x06a2… | Up | $238.13 |
| mercedes500 | Up | $231.76 |
| MothersMilky | Up | $226.69 |
| billeticos | Up | $226.41 |
539 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $11k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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