Who won the most on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET”?

0x9cfe… took $1.6k on Up at an average entry of 3¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.0k on Down. The winners and losers below are realized at resolution from on-chain fills, not self-reported.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Market · resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Up won. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 57¢) and lost. Volume $113k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Winner
Up
Smart money lost
Down
Volume
$113k
Closed
Oct 29, 2026

See who really won.Every wallet on this market by name — fills, entries and what each one took home — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

live

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · odds to the close

Market & odds history

Result

Market & odds history

100%

Up · resolved

Smart money by side · shares at the close

Smart money on a market

Down1k100%

Top wallets · 30-day P&L

Trader leaderboard

Wallet	P&L	30d P&L	ROI	Win rate	Volume
mintblade	$9.2M	$9.2M	52%	100%	$17.8M
fishalive	$9.1M	$9.1M	68.2%	100%	$13.3M
frostrizz	$8.9M	$8.9M	38.7%	83.3%	$23.1M
GRIMDRIP	$7.6M	$7.6M	55.9%	100%	$13.6M
joseph00677	$5.6M	$7.2M	11.9%	43.5%	$47.1M
muchobliged	$2.2M	$7.1M	6.9%	71.4%	$31.1M
0x5e4c…	$7.4M	$4.7M	28.2%	66.7%	$26.3M
Inaccuratestake	$4.0M	$3.9M	14.6%	74.2%	$27.2M

Hottest markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)	None 47% · IA 11% · IA, ME 3%	$11.4M	$5.1M
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 97% · Republican Party 4%	$8.2M	$4.0M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 81% · R Senate, D House 17% · Republicans Sweep 2%	$6.2M	$4.0M
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 82% · Republican Party 19%	$4.7M	$822k
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 80% · Ken Paxton (R) 20%	$3.8M	$994k
Florida Governor Election Winner	Byron Donalds (R) 65% · David Jolly (D) 35%	$2.0M	$158k
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 84% · Mike Rogers (R) 14%	$1.9M	$263k
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Top Esports 23% · Invictus Gaming 77%	$1.9M	$209k

Winners & losers · at the close

Winners & losers (settled)

Wallet	Outcome	P&L	Bought	Avg entry	All-time P&L
0x9cfe…	Up	$2k	$2k	3¢	−$8k
Imgonnadoit	Down	$1k	$2k	34¢	$920.43
Attilah	Up	$548.86	$2k	17¢	−$1k
0xd518…	Up	$339.32	$388.32	13¢	$262.99
0x1af3…	Up	$332.14	$357.14	7¢	−$232.82
wpb1104	Up	$291.28	$306.49	5¢	$334.05
Favorite-Birdwatcher	Down	$278.69	$524.60	40¢	−$3k
silverknox	Up	$277.29	$369.61	23¢	−$737.89
xffxx	Up	$224.81	$232.25	3¢	$11k
Huwei37383	Down	$204.53	$376.37	42¢	$6k
qeejvapt	Up	$201.02	$535.04	62¢	−$735.08
0xfeef…	Up	$187.00	$210.42	11¢	−$947.49

Smart-money conviction · all markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?$827k
2Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.7M
3Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?$425k
4Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$353k
5Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$324k
6Ohio vs. Akron$276k
72026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$162k
82026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$133k
9Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$146k
10Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$103k

Settled

Who won and who lost.

919 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $10k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.

Winners · Up

P&L on this market

10x9cfe…
+$1.6k
$1.7k at 3¢ · all-time −$8.4k
2Imgonnadoit
+$1.5k
$2.3k at 34¢ · all-time +$920
3Attilah
+$549
$1.8k at 17¢ · all-time −$1.3k
40xd518…
+$339
$388 at 13¢ · all-time +$263
50x1af3…
+$332
$357 at 7¢ · all-time −$233
6wpb1104
+$291
$306 at 5¢ · all-time +$334
7Favorite-Birdwatcher
+$279
$525 at 40¢ · all-time −$2.6k
8silverknox
+$277
$370 at 23¢ · all-time −$738
9xffxxbot
+$225
$232 at 3¢ · all-time +$11k
10Huwei37383
+$205
$376 at 42¢ · all-time +$5.9k

Losers · Down

P&L on this market

1Clarkplans
−$2.0k
$4.7k at 43¢ · all-time +$8.0k
2twajs
−$1.0k
$1.5k at 66¢ · all-time −$1.7k
3drew112d
−$946
$955 at 99¢ · all-time +$2.3k
4brewcrypto
−$605
$1.0k at 96¢ · all-time −$1.6k
5mzmmzm1
−$597
$1.1k at 55¢ · all-time −$1.2k
6YsaTrader
−$546
$557 at 98¢ · all-time −$2.2k
7b159cd071b88
−$500
$505 at 99¢ · all-time −$2.0k
8dudududu-max-verstappen
−$455
$460 at 99¢ · all-time −$2.2k
9alsn
−$386
$690 at 59¢ · all-time −$942
10liangdashuai
−$324
$383 at 94¢ · all-time −$674

Smart wallets

Who held each side.

Upwon

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.

Down

3 wallets · 1,144 known shares

mzmmzm1
entry 55¢ · all-time −$1.2k · win —
cryptotradernpc
entry 96¢ · all-time +$3.2k · win 73%
xTriple7
entry 96¢ · all-time +$1.4k · win 69%

More live markets

FAQ

Who won “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET” on Polymarket?: Up won; it closed Oct 29, 2026, on $113k of volume. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 57¢) and lost. The odds widget charts the path to the close.
Who won the most on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET”?: 0x9cfe… took $1.6k on Up at an average entry of 3¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.0k on Down. The winners and losers below are realized at resolution from on-chain fills, not self-reported.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Market · resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Up won. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 57¢) and lost. Volume $113k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Winner
Up
Smart money lost
Down
Volume
$113k
Closed
Oct 29, 2026

See who really won.Every wallet on this market by name — fills, entries and what each one took home — on Polynyx.See the smart money ↗

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

live

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · odds to the close

Market & odds history

Result

Market & odds history

100%

Up · resolved

Smart money by side · shares at the close

Smart money on a market

Down1k100%

Top wallets · 30-day P&L

Trader leaderboard

Wallet	P&L	30d P&L	ROI	Win rate	Volume
mintblade	$9.2M	$9.2M	52%	100%	$17.8M
fishalive	$9.1M	$9.1M	68.2%	100%	$13.3M
frostrizz	$8.9M	$8.9M	38.7%	83.3%	$23.1M
GRIMDRIP	$7.6M	$7.6M	55.9%	100%	$13.6M
joseph00677	$5.6M	$7.2M	11.9%	43.5%	$47.1M
muchobliged	$2.2M	$7.1M	6.9%	71.4%	$31.1M
0x5e4c…	$7.4M	$4.7M	28.2%	66.7%	$26.3M
Inaccuratestake	$4.0M	$3.9M	14.6%	74.2%	$27.2M

Hottest markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)	None 47% · IA 11% · IA, ME 3%	$11.4M	$5.1M
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 97% · Republican Party 4%	$8.2M	$4.0M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 81% · R Senate, D House 17% · Republicans Sweep 2%	$6.2M	$4.0M
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 82% · Republican Party 19%	$4.7M	$822k
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 80% · Ken Paxton (R) 20%	$3.8M	$994k
Florida Governor Election Winner	Byron Donalds (R) 65% · David Jolly (D) 35%	$2.0M	$158k
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 84% · Mike Rogers (R) 14%	$1.9M	$263k
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Top Esports 23% · Invictus Gaming 77%	$1.9M	$209k

Winners & losers · at the close

Winners & losers (settled)

Wallet	Outcome	P&L	Bought	Avg entry	All-time P&L
0x9cfe…	Up	$2k	$2k	3¢	−$8k
Imgonnadoit	Down	$1k	$2k	34¢	$920.43
Attilah	Up	$548.86	$2k	17¢	−$1k
0xd518…	Up	$339.32	$388.32	13¢	$262.99
0x1af3…	Up	$332.14	$357.14	7¢	−$232.82
wpb1104	Up	$291.28	$306.49	5¢	$334.05
Favorite-Birdwatcher	Down	$278.69	$524.60	40¢	−$3k
silverknox	Up	$277.29	$369.61	23¢	−$737.89
xffxx	Up	$224.81	$232.25	3¢	$11k
Huwei37383	Down	$204.53	$376.37	42¢	$6k
qeejvapt	Up	$201.02	$535.04	62¢	−$735.08
0xfeef…	Up	$187.00	$210.42	11¢	−$947.49

Smart-money conviction · all markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?$827k
2Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.7M
3Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?$425k
4Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$353k
5Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$324k
6Ohio vs. Akron$276k
72026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$162k
82026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$133k
9Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$146k
10Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$103k

Settled

Who won and who lost.

Winners · Up

P&L on this market

10x9cfe…
+$1.6k
$1.7k at 3¢ · all-time −$8.4k
2Imgonnadoit
+$1.5k
$2.3k at 34¢ · all-time +$920
3Attilah
+$549
$1.8k at 17¢ · all-time −$1.3k
40xd518…
+$339
$388 at 13¢ · all-time +$263
50x1af3…
+$332
$357 at 7¢ · all-time −$233
6wpb1104
+$291
$306 at 5¢ · all-time +$334
7Favorite-Birdwatcher
+$279
$525 at 40¢ · all-time −$2.6k
8silverknox
+$277
$370 at 23¢ · all-time −$738
9xffxxbot
+$225
$232 at 3¢ · all-time +$11k
10Huwei37383
+$205
$376 at 42¢ · all-time +$5.9k

Losers · Down

P&L on this market

1Clarkplans
−$2.0k
$4.7k at 43¢ · all-time +$8.0k
2twajs
−$1.0k
$1.5k at 66¢ · all-time −$1.7k
3drew112d
−$946
$955 at 99¢ · all-time +$2.3k
4brewcrypto
−$605
$1.0k at 96¢ · all-time −$1.6k
5mzmmzm1
−$597
$1.1k at 55¢ · all-time −$1.2k
6YsaTrader
−$546
$557 at 98¢ · all-time −$2.2k
7b159cd071b88
−$500
$505 at 99¢ · all-time −$2.0k
8dudududu-max-verstappen
−$455
$460 at 99¢ · all-time −$2.2k
9alsn
−$386
$690 at 59¢ · all-time −$942
10liangdashuai
−$324
$383 at 94¢ · all-time −$674

Smart wallets

Who held each side.

Upwon

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.

Down

3 wallets · 1,144 known shares

mzmmzm1
entry 55¢ · all-time −$1.2k · win —
cryptotradernpc
entry 96¢ · all-time +$3.2k · win 73%
xTriple7
entry 96¢ · all-time +$1.4k · win 69%

More live markets

FAQ

Who won “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET” on Polymarket?: Up won; it closed Oct 29, 2026, on $113k of volume. Smart money backed Down (3 ranked wallets, average entry 57¢) and lost. The odds widget charts the path to the close.
Who won the most on “Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET”?: 0x9cfe… took $1.6k on Up at an average entry of 3¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.0k on Down. The winners and losers below are realized at resolution from on-chain fills, not self-reported.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds and volume from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every wallet by name with its fills — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; point the odds widget at a live market, add a wallet, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.