Down won. Smart money backed Up (3 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $0. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 16% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $2.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 29% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 3% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 81% · No change 20% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 8% | $944k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $710k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $454k |
| Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04? | Yes 53% · No 48% | $411k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x9f84… | Down | $336.84 |
| casaverde | Down | $241.34 |
| Tryingtomakebank | Down | $224.74 |
| 0xb0da… | Down | $156.67 |
| 0x3ec4… | Down | $90.18 |
| okeledokelee | Down | $81.97 |
| 0x43fe… | Down | $63 |
| Awesome-Yarmulke-Gingerbread | Down | $58.96 |
| james0079 | Down | $57.58 |
| 0xb755… | Down | $48.48 |
| 0x5b39… | Down | $43.37 |
| Huydep | Down | $36.27 |
427 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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