Down won. Smart money backed Up (2 ranked wallets, average entry 47¢) and lost. Volume $52k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 2% · Brian Kemp 1% | $2.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · James Talarico 4% · Andy Beshear 3% | $1.5M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $972k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 2% · Ivanka Trump 1% | $842k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $691k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic | Xinyu Wang 64% · Antonia Ruzic 36% | $366k |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $336k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x6b95… | Down | $2k |
| etherummm | Down | $328.44 |
| Xndidnxk | Up | $254.90 |
| 0x1031… | Down | $222.52 |
| pulpul212133 | Down | $167.96 |
| Claybrook34 | Down | $166.96 |
| casaverde | Down | $138.43 |
| ApexUpDown | Down | $112.13 |
| 0x3e59… | Down | $110.06 |
| Jamel129 | Down | $102.17 |
| 0xf9b7… | Down | $92.55 |
| spartacray | Down | $83.80 |
584 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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