Up won. Smart money backed Down (1 ranked wallet, average entry 58¢) and lost. Volume $27k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| 0xcdcc… | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 78% · R Senate, D House 18% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.1M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 34% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $5.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 96% · Republican Party 5% | $3.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 79% · Republican Party 23% | $2.9M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Newcastle United FC vs. Everton FC | Newcastle United FC 35% · Everton FC 31% | $1.2M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $994k |
| Bears vs. Seahawks | Bears 38% · Seahawks 62% | $619k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| yescanyes | Up | $363.51 |
| 0xccf2… | Up | $181.50 |
| valeron92 | Up | $178.50 |
| J.COLE | Up | $112.22 |
| 0x46c7… | Up | $101.18 |
| BobbyBrant | Up | $98.77 |
| Capone.Nik | Up | $86.47 |
| 0x4ab3… | Up | $78.05 |
| HKjai | Up | $74.74 |
| predict008 | Up | $74.70 |
| 118hhge | Up | $67.70 |
| 0x1031… | Up | $56.46 |
436 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.6k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $4.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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