Up won. Smart money backed Down (2 ranked wallets, average entry 15¢) and lost. Volume $21k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $12.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 94% · Republican Party 6% | $6.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 26% | $3.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $3.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 77% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.6M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.1M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 66% · David Jolly (D) 36% | $981k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x89b4… | Up | $83.21 |
| ApexUpDown | Up | $70.42 |
| highpolis | Up | $60.58 |
| tarnoblist | Up | $59.40 |
| 659lij | Up | $50 |
| Alex698 | Up | $49.03 |
| 0xf72f… | Up | $23.50 |
| 0xb755… | Up | $22.42 |
| 0xad7a… | Up | $21.17 |
| jumpy16 | Up | $18.75 |
| 0xfc44… | Up | $17.74 |
| makmx | Up | $17.43 |
298 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $835; the 60 biggest losers gave up $826. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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