Down won. Smart money backed Up (4 ranked wallets, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $25k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 66% · Draw (AEK vs. Real Madrid CF) 18% · AEK 15% | $5.2M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 23% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 64% · Fenerbahçe SK 15% | $1.0M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $777k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 17% · Jon Ossoff 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $667k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| drew112d | Down | $552.66 |
| 0x5d68… | Down | $206.83 |
| 0xad7a… | Down | $105.44 |
| earlywise | Down | $71.27 |
| 0xef49… | Down | $37.68 |
| Vonz | Down | $37.54 |
| botmy | Down | $34.30 |
| 0x93a8… | Up | $29.40 |
| 0xst33zy | Down | $28.79 |
| Archyazur | Down | $26.42 |
| newera17 | Down | $23.30 |
| Tiradentes | Down | $23.20 |
393 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $1.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $725. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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