Down won. Smart money backed Up (4 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $55k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 33% · Joe Kent 2% · Donald Trump 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · James Talarico 4% · Michelle Obama 1% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% · James Talarico 2% | $1.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $510k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $457k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech | Ben Shelton 65% · Arthur Rinderknech 36% | $427k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $418k |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes 54% · No 46% | $341k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| shaillakhani | Down | $829.22 |
| Vigilant-Cruelty-Payment | Down | $163.75 |
| Money-Bot | Down | $123.19 |
| BrickThrower | Down | $105.23 |
| 0x4949… | Down | $91.91 |
| xinxin103 | Down | $91.62 |
| izzy117 | Down | $73 |
| 0xf8d3… | Down | $67.07 |
| silurian | Down | $46.08 |
| lexr | Down | $39.24 |
| tu.buffalo.kid | Down | $39.18 |
| PoopingPeepo | Down | $38.82 |
476 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $2.3k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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